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VOICE ARCHIVE

Erik Brynjolfsson

@erikbryn
36 posts
2026-02-17
US productivity growth is likely to come in at about 2.7% for 2025. That is nearly double the average of the previous 10 years. There are many factors at work, but part of the story is that businesses are finally beginning to reap some of AI's benefits. I discuss the latest
2026-02-17 View on X
Financial Times

Analysis: US productivity rose by ~2.7% in 2025, nearly doubling the 1.4% annual average over a decade, as AI-exposed sectors cooled their entry-level hiring

2026-02-16
US productivity growth is likely to come in at about 2.7% for 2025. That is nearly double the average of the previous 10 years. There are many factors at work, but part of the story is that businesses are finally beginning to reap some of AI's benefits. I discuss the latest
2026-02-16 View on X
Financial Times

Analysis: US productivity rose by ~2.7% in 2025, nearly doubling the 1.4% annual average over a decade, as AI-exposed sectors cooled their entry-level hiring

New economic data suggests the US is transitioning to a phase of measurable gains from the technology

2026-02-07
Slowly at first, and then suddenly.
2026-02-07 View on X
SemiAnalysis

Analysis: Claude Code currently authors 4% of all public GitHub commits and is on track to cross 20% of all daily commits by the end of 2026

2026-02-06
Slowly at first, and then suddenly.
2026-02-06 View on X
SemiAnalysis

Analysis: Claude Code currently authors 4% of all public GitHub commits and is on track to cross 20% of all daily commits by the end of 2026

2026-02-04
2011: Software is eating the world 2026: AI is eating software. https://finance.yahoo.com/...
2026-02-04 View on X
Wall Street Journal

Software and data stocks plunge over fears that new AI developments will supplant software; ADBE fell 7.31%, CRM 6.85%, and Thomson Reuters 15.83% on Tuesday

From Legalzoom.com and Expedia to Ares and Apollo, shares of companies that sell or invest in software fell sharply on Tuesday

2026-01-02
Here's a terrific new post by @pawtrammell, an amazing postdoc at the @DigEconLab and the ever-insightful @dwarkesh_sp. Their argument in brief: in a world of powerful AI, capital, not labor, may be the main source of income. In turn, that implies that inequality will skyrocket,
2026-01-02 View on X
Philosopher Count

How AI automation can fulfill Thomas Piketty's predictions on rising economic inequality, and why highly progressive taxes on capital can help slow the spiral

Piketty was wrong about the past.  He's probably right about the future.  —  1. Introduction X: @briancalbrecht , @saikatc , @harryh , @jankulveit , @daniel_271828 , @krishnanrohit...

2025-06-16
Carl is right. AI is already boosting productivity in many tasks, but the real power of general-purpose technologies, from the steam engine and electricity to AI, lies in catalyzing new products and processes.
2025-06-16 View on X
Financial Times

AI is just another productivity tool and the productivity gains will be limited; for lasting economic expansion, AI must catalyze new industries and initiatives

Economic miracles stem from discovery, not repeating tasks at greater speed  —  The writer is author of 'How Progress Ends … Bluesky: @eicathomefinn and @dncampbell X: @mrrbourne ,...

2025-04-08
I'm thrilled to announce that the 2025 edition of the AI Index Report is out today.  —  Over 400 pages of charts, graphs and data, so that the conversation about AI can be grounded in facts.  —  Download your copy now and spread the word.  —  hai.stanford.edu/ai-index/202...
2025-04-08 View on X
IEEE Spectrum

A look at the state of AI in 2025 across training and inference costs, carbon footprint, US vs. China, investment activity, bills proposed in the US, and more

If you read the news about AI, you may feel bombarded with conflicting messages: AI is booming.  AI is a bubble.

2025-02-19
Check out the amazing team @miramurati has assembled at Thinking Machines Lab. I expect big things from them.
2025-02-19 View on X
Axios

Former OpenAI CTO Mira Murati unveils AI startup Thinking Machines Lab, which she's leading as CEO, with Barret Zoph as CTO and John Schulman as chief scientist

- “Instead of focusing solely on making fully autonomous AI systems, we are excited to build multimodal systems that work …

2024-12-21
.@Waymo is much safer than human drivers when matched with similar conditions (unlike benchmarks of companies that don't match driving conditions). Kudos to @TechTekedra, @dmitri_dolgov, @JeffDean, @SebastianThrun, and the many others who made this possible. Link in next post
2024-12-21 View on X
The Verge

A study by Waymo and insurer Swiss Re finds Waymo's vehicles were safer than those driven by humans, with a 92% reduction in bodily injury claims and more

Andrew J. Hawkins / The Verge :

2024-10-15
it's happening: Google is now building a series of small modular nuclear reactors to help power their data centers as they scale up AI. “The initial phase of work is intended to bring Kairos Power's first SMR online quickly and safely by 2030, followed by additional reactor
2024-10-15 View on X
Wall Street Journal

Google signs an deal to buy nuclear energy generated from multiple small modular reactors developed by US-based Kairos Power, targeting 500 MW by 2035

Startup Kairos Power plans to build small reactors to help supply electricity to the tech company's data centers, in a first-of-its-kind deal in the U.S.

2024-10-13
What could possibly go right? There are serious challenges ahead as AI becomes more powerful, but I love it when people provide their vision of a positive future like @DarioAmodei does in this essay.
2024-10-13 View on X
Dario Amodei

An essay on what a “powerful AI” may look like and how it could positively transform the world in biology, neuroscience, economic development, work, and more

How AI Could Transform the World for the Better  —  I think and talk a lot about the risks of powerful AI.

2024-10-12
What could possibly go right? There are serious challenges ahead as AI becomes more powerful, but I love it when people provide their vision of a positive future like @DarioAmodei does in this essay.
2024-10-12 View on X
Dario Amodei

An essay on what a “powerful AI” may look like and how it could positively transform the world in biology, neuroscience, economic development, work, and more

How AI Could Transform the World for the Better  —  I think and talk a lot about the risks of powerful AI.

2023-06-26
Sam Altman: AI's ability “to manipulate, to persuade, to provide sort of one-on-one interactive disinformation” is “a significant area of concern.” https://www.nytimes.com/... [image]
2023-06-26 View on X
New York Times

As the use of AI-generated ads in political campaigns increases globally, consultants, election researchers, and lawmakers push for setting up new guardrails

Gaps in campaign rules allow politicians to spread images and messaging generated by increasingly powerful artificial intelligence technology.

2023-05-31
Humanity is creating a new technology, AI, with unimaginable power. Along with benefits, there are real risks that need to be taken seriously. That's why I'm joining many others in signing this statement. Please read it and let me know if you agree. https://www.safe.ai/...
2023-05-31 View on X
New York Times

OpenAI and DeepMind executives, Geoffrey Hinton, and 350+ others sign a statement saying “mitigating the risk of extinction from AI should be a global priority”

and says computer scientists need ethics training Brian Fung / CNN : AI industry and researchers sign statement warning of ‘extinction’ risk Alka Jain / Livemint : Industry leaders...

2023-05-23
Expect to see more of this. It appears that the real (I think) @bloomberg account does not have a Blue Check. I'm not sure the word “verified” means what it is supposed to mean. https://twitter.com/...
2023-05-23 View on X
VICE

Some blue-check Twitter accounts, one pretending to be Bloomberg, spread an AI-generated image of an explosion at the Pentagon; the stock market briefly dipped

and markets briefly dipped Shannon Bond / NPR : Fake viral images of an explosion at the Pentagon were probably created by AI Davey Alba / Bloomberg : How Fake AI Photo of a Pentag...

2023-05-10
Redesigning and improving can't be far behind understanding https://twitter.com/...
2023-05-10 View on X
TechCrunch

OpenAI releases alignment research and an open-source tool that uses GPT-4 to try to interpret the behavior of individual GPT-2 “neurons and attention heads”

look, we can explain some neurons in GPT-2! That's so cool! Another way to read it: we can explain 0.3% of neurons in GPT-2, which is 0.00017% the size of GPT-4. So we *really* don...

2023-03-06
With the rise of deep fakes, a reliable digital authentication system is needed asap. And not just for public figures and organizations, but for everyone. https://www.washingtonpost.com/ ...
2023-03-06 View on X
Washington Post

Scammers are using voice-cloning AI to impersonate distressed loved ones, sometimes spoofing specific phone numbers to further the ruse, and victims fall for it

Scammers are using artificial intelligence to sound more like family members in distress.  People are falling for it and losing thousands of dollars.

2022-12-21
The hits just keep coming. https://twitter.com/...
2022-12-21 View on X
TechCrunch

OpenAI open sources Point-E, a machine learning system that generates and displays a 3D object from a text prompt in one to two minutes on an Nvidia V100 GPU

2022-12-02
There is another AI breakthrough every week. Just wait until DeepNash, GPT-4, and Cicero (the Diplomacy-playing system) start having babies. https://twitter.com/...
2022-12-02 View on X
Nature

DeepMind unveils DeepNash, an AI agent that matches human experts in the board game Stratego by combining game theory and model-free deep reinforcement learning

Anil Ananthaswamy is the author of Through Two Doors at Once, among other books.  His next is on the mathematics of machine learning.