mansourtarek_ · TEXXR

I know some of you disagree and prefer that we list these markets without a death carveout because it keeps the rules simple and because many traditional markets, like oil futures, can be proxy markets for war and death. But we believe that's different than having a market directly settling on someone's death, which is not allowed for US regulated entities... In these instances, we make the caveat clear in the rules and in the market page, but today is a good learning that we can do more in terms of improving the UX and adding more ways to surface the rules. We are committed to improving.

2026-03-03 View on X

The Verge

Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour says the startup will void certain bets related to Iran's Ali Khamenei and claims it doesn't “list markets directly tied to death”

ergo, the no price by Feb. 28th was 99 cents. Pay me my money Tarek.@0xmerp:Yes I'm sure the guy that was supreme leader since the year 1989 was planning to peacefully retire How e...

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Reposting because my other message was unclear: We settled the market to last traded price before time of death (per our rules). All positions, no matter when they were opened, got paid out on the last-traded price before his death. On top of that, if you bought a position

2026-03-03 View on X

The Verge

Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour says the startup will void certain bets related to Iran's Ali Khamenei and claims it doesn't “list markets directly tied to death”

ergo, the no price by Feb. 28th was 99 cents. Pay me my money Tarek.@0xmerp:Yes I'm sure the guy that was supreme leader since the year 1989 was planning to peacefully retire How e...

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I know some of you disagree and prefer that we list these markets without a death carveout because it keeps the rules simple and because many traditional markets, like oil futures, can be proxy markets for war and death. But we believe that's different than having a market directly settling on someone's death, which is not allowed for US regulated entities... In these instances, we make the caveat clear in the rules and in the market page, but today is a good learning that we can do more in terms of improving the UX and adding more ways to surface the rules. We are committed to improving.

2026-03-03 View on X

CNBC

AWS warns of “unpredictable” Middle East operations after drones “directly struck” two UAE facilities and a drone strike near one of its Bahrain facilities

Amazon Web Services said late Monday two of its data centers in the United Arab Emirates and a facility in Bahrain were damaged by drone strikes, taking the facilities offline.

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Reposting because my other message was unclear: We settled the market to last traded price before time of death (per our rules). All positions, no matter when they were opened, got paid out on the last-traded price before his death. On top of that, if you bought a position

2026-03-03 View on X

CNBC

AWS warns of “unpredictable” Middle East operations after drones “directly struck” two UAE facilities and a drone strike near one of its Bahrain facilities

Amazon Web Services said late Monday two of its data centers in the United Arab Emirates and a facility in Bahrain were damaged by drone strikes, taking the facilities offline.

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Reposting because my other message was unclear: We settled the market to last traded price before time of death (per our rules). All positions, no matter when they were opened, got paid out on the last-traded price before his death. On top of that, if you bought a position

2026-03-02 View on X

Reuters

AWS says its facilities in the Middle East are facing power and connectivity issues after unidentified “objects” struck its data center in the UAE

Amazon's (AMZN.O) cloud unit, AWS, said on Sunday that power to its data center in the United Arab Emirates was shut down temporarily …

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Reposting because my other message was unclear: We settled the market to last traded price before time of death (per our rules). All positions, no matter when they were opened, got paid out on the last-traded price before his death. On top of that, if you bought a position

2026-03-02 View on X

The Verge

Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour says the startup will void certain bets related to Iran's Ali Khamenei and claims it doesn't “list markets directly tied to death”

Users say rules barring ‘profiting from death’ are unclear. … In a statement on X, Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour …

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On Khamenei: We don't list markets directly tied to death. When there are markets where potential outcomes involve death, we design the rules to prevent people from profiting from death. That is what we did here. I know some of you disagree and prefer that we list these

2026-03-02 View on X

The Verge

Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour says the startup will void certain bets related to Iran's Ali Khamenei and claims it doesn't “list markets directly tied to death”

Users say rules barring ‘profiting from death’ are unclear. … In a statement on X, Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour …

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On Khamenei: We don't list markets directly tied to death. When there are markets where potential outcomes involve death, we design the rules to prevent people from profiting from death. That is what we did here. I know some of you disagree and prefer that we list these

2026-03-02 View on X

Reuters

AWS says its facilities in the Middle East are facing power and connectivity issues after unidentified “objects” struck its data center in the UAE

Amazon's (AMZN.O) cloud unit, AWS, said on Sunday that power to its data center in the United Arab Emirates was shut down temporarily …

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The Citrini report caused a market sell off. But Citadel and others published rebuttals. Pricing the likelihood of this AI doomsday scenario could decrease uncertainty in the broader market and make asset prices more efficient. Kalshi has it at 11%. https://www.citriniodds.com/

2026-02-27 View on X

Citadel Securities

Citadel rebuts Citrini's viral article, arguing that AI deployment is constrained by the marginal cost of compute vs. human labor, and needs far more compute

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The Citrini report caused a market sell off. But Citadel and others published rebuttals. Pricing the likelihood of this AI doomsday scenario could decrease uncertainty in the broader market and make asset prices more efficient. Kalshi has it at 11%. https://www.citriniodds.com/

2026-02-26 View on X

Citadel Securities

Citadel rebuts Citrini's viral article, arguing that AI deployment is constrained by the marginal cost of compute vs. human labor, and needs far more compute

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Kalshi raised $1B at an $11B valuation. A decade ago, only a few thousand people knew what a prediction market was. Eighteen months ago, most prediction markets were banned - until we overcame the government to set them free. Over the past seven years, our community has opened [video]

2025-12-02 View on X

New York Times

Prediction market Kalshi raised $1B led by Paradigm at an $11B valuation, up from $5B after its $300M Series D in October, making its co-founders billionaires

The fund-raising effort, the company's third this year, values it at $11 billion, and comes amid stiff competition in the increasingly popular industry.

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Kalshi recently raised $300M+ at $5B from Sequoia, a16z, Paradigm and others. Since then, we've grown over 3x, hit $50B of annualized volume, and became the largest prediction market in the world. And today...Kalshi goes global. 140+ countries. 1 liquidity pool. [video]

2025-10-10 View on X

New York Times

Kalshi raised a $300M+ Series D at a $5B valuation, expands to 140 countries, and is on track for $50B in annualized trading volume, up from $300M in 2024

The fund-raising round comes as online prediction marketplaces gain mainstream prominence. — Online prediction markets have jumped …

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I'm excited to announce our $185M Series C valuing Kalshi at $2B. The round was led by Paradigm with participation from Sequoia, Multicoin, Peng Zhao, Neo, and Bond Capital. People choose to work at Kalshi not because of the money we've raised, but because of our ambition: [image]

2025-06-26 View on X

Bloomberg

Kalshi raised $185M led by Paradigm at a $2B valuation; sources: Polymarket is completing a $200M+ investment led by Founders Fund at a ~$1B pre-money valuation

Prediction-Market Unicorn Hits $2 Billion Valuation Bogdan Patru / Bitcoin Insider : Prediction Market Kalshi Achieves Unicorn Status with $185 Raised at its $2B Evaluation, as BTC...

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Polls 0 Prediction Markets 1

2024-11-06 View on X

Financial Times

Elon Musk's gamble on Donald Trump pays off, as Trump wins the race; Trump gave Musk a lengthy shout out in his victory speech, calling him “a super-genius”

“A star is born: Elon,” said Donald Trump in a lengthy shout out to his biggest donor while claiming victory in the US presidential race on Wednesday morning.

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Is this our Lehman Brothers moment? https://twitter.com/...

2022-06-15 View on X

The Block

Sources: crypto hedge fund Three Arrows Capital faces an uncertain future after a $400M liquidation; CEO Zhu tweeted we are “committed to working this out”

The future of crypto hedge fund Three Arrows Capital hangs in the balance as the firm faces potential insolvency after being liquidated by its lenders. Source: @zhusu .

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