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VOICE ARCHIVE

Cassandra Unchained

@michaeljburry
26 posts
2026-02-28
As Nvidia pours $30 billion into OpenAI so OpenAI can spend 20+ billion on Nvidia chips, remember this story from last week. Reuters reported two weeks ago that OpenAI had become dissatisfied with the performance of Nvidia's hardware for certain types of inference tasks,
2026-02-28 View on X
OpenAI

OpenAI says ChatGPT has 900M+ weekly active users, 50M+ consumer subscribers, and weekly Codex users have more than tripled since the start of the year to 1.6M

raising the stakes for AI monetizationZac Hall /9to5Mac:ChatGPT approaching 1 billion weekly active users

As Nvidia pours $30 billion into OpenAI so OpenAI can spend 20+ billion on Nvidia chips, remember this story from last week. Reuters reported two weeks ago that OpenAI had become dissatisfied with the performance of Nvidia's hardware for certain types of inference tasks,
2026-02-28 View on X
CNBC

OpenAI raised $110B at a $730B pre-money valuation, up from $500B in a secondary financing in Oct.; Amazon invested $50B, Nvidia and SoftBank invested $30B each

OpenAI announced a $110 billion funding round on Friday, a financing that's more than double the size of its last raise a year ago …

2026-02-26
Just a $NVDA thought. https://michaeljburry.substack.com/ ... [image]
2026-02-26 View on X
CNBC

Nvidia stock is down 5%+, as investor concerns around the AI infrastructure boom dampen enthusiasm about its better-than-expected earnings

Kai Nicol-Schwarz /CNBC:

Just a $NVDA thought. https://michaeljburry.substack.com/ ... [image]
2026-02-26 View on X
The Information

Nvidia discloses $3.5B in guarantees to companies leasing land, power, and data center facilities, up 4x on Q3; the move may help firms without credit ratings

Miles Kruppa /The Information:NEW

2026-02-24
And you think I'm bearish. https://www.citriniresearch.com/ ... [image]
2026-02-24 View on X
Wall Street Journal

Software stocks like AppLovin and CrowdStrike extended their weeks-long selloff; several of the biggest decliners were discussed in Citrini Research's post

The weeks-long selloff in software stocks deepened Monday amid general unease about the threat posed by AI.  —  Software-makers AppLovin, CrowdStrike …

And you think I'm bearish. https://www.citriniresearch.com/ ... [image]
2026-02-24 View on X
Citrini Research

Imagining an AI-driven “2028 Global Intelligence Crisis”: as white-collar layoffs grow, the human-centric consumer economy withers and the social fabric frays

A Thought Exercise in Financial History, from the Future  —  Preface  —  What if our AI bullishness continues to be right …

2026-02-23
And you think I'm bearish. https://www.citriniresearch.com/ ... [image]
2026-02-23 View on X
Citrini Research

Imagining an AI-driven “2028 Global Intelligence Crisis”: as white-collar layoffs grow, the human-centric consumer economy withers and the social fabric frays

A Thought Exercise in Financial History, from the Future  —  Preface  —  What if our AI bullishness continues …

2026-02-17
Palantir AIP can shift work to other LLMs but what if other owners (Google, OpenAi et al) also say (like Anthropic) they want restrictions on war use of their LLMs? Pentagon threatens to cut off Anthropic in AI safeguards dispute, Axios reports | Reuters https://www.reuters.com/...
2026-02-17 View on X
Axios

A senior official says Pentagon is “close” to designating Anthropic a “supply chain risk”, requiring all US military contractors to sever ties with the company

Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth is “close” to cutting business ties with Anthropic and designating the AI company a …

Palantir AIP can shift work to other LLMs but what if other owners (Google, OpenAi et al) also say (like Anthropic) they want restrictions on war use of their LLMs? Pentagon threatens to cut off Anthropic in AI safeguards dispute, Axios reports | Reuters https://www.reuters.com/...
2026-02-17 View on X
Bloomberg

Sources: SpaceX and xAI are competing in a $100M DoD contest to make voice-controlled, autonomous drone swarms; OpenAI is helping Applied Intuition's submission

Elon Musk's SpaceX and wholly owned subsidiary xAI are competing in a secretive new Pentagon contest to produce voice-controlled …

2026-02-16
Palantir AIP can shift work to other LLMs but what if other owners (Google, OpenAi et al) also say (like Anthropic) they want restrictions on war use of their LLMs? Pentagon threatens to cut off Anthropic in AI safeguards dispute, Axios reports | Reuters https://www.reuters.com/...
2026-02-16 View on X
Axios

A senior official says Pentagon is “close” to designating Anthropic a “supply chain risk”, requiring all US military contractors to sever ties with the company

Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth is “close” to cutting business ties with Anthropic and designating the AI company a …

2026-02-10
Alphabet looking to issue a 100-year bond.  Last time this happened was Motorola in 1997, which was the last year Motorola was considered a big deal.  At the start of 1997, Motorola was a top 25 market cap and top 25 revenue corporation in America.  Never again.  The Motorola corporate brand in 1997 was ranked #1 in the US, ahead of Microsoft.  In 1998, Nokia overtook Motorola in cell phones, and after the iPhone it fell out of the consumer eye.  Today Motorola is the 232nd largest market cap with only $11 billion in sales.
2026-02-10 View on X
Financial Times

Sources: Alphabet plans to sell a rare 100-year sterling bond, as Big Tech companies borrow more to fund their capex growth; IBM sold a 100-year bond in 1996

Deal comes as Google parent steps up AI borrowing rush with $15bn sale of dollar bonds  —  Alphabet has lined up banks to sell …

Alphabet looking to issue a 100-year bond.  Last time this happened was Motorola in 1997, which was the last year Motorola was considered a big deal.  At the start of 1997, Motorola was a top 25 market cap and top 25 revenue corporation in America.  Never again.  The Motorola corporate brand in 1997 was ranked #1 in the US, ahead of Microsoft.  In 1998, Nokia overtook Motorola in cell phones, and after the iPhone it fell out of the consumer eye.  Today Motorola is the 232nd largest market cap with only $11 billion in sales.
2026-02-10 View on X
Bloomberg

Alphabet raised $20B in its biggest ever US dollar bond sale, more than the $15B initially expected, after drawing more than $100B of orders

Here's all we knowErin Woo /The Information:Alphabet Reportedly Set for $20 Billion US Bond SaleEstefano Gomez /Crypto Briefing:Alphabet draws $100B+ demand for $15B bond sale to f...

2026-02-09
Alphabet looking to issue a 100-year bond. Last time this happened was Motorola in 1997, which was the last year Motorola was considered a big deal. At the start of 1997, Motorola was a top 25 market cap and top 25 revenue corporation in America. Never again. The Motorola [image]
2026-02-09 View on X
Financial Times

Sources: Alphabet plans to sell a rare 100-year sterling bond, as Big Tech companies borrow more to fund their capex growth; IBM sold a 100-year bond in 1996

Deal comes as Google parent steps up AI borrowing rush with $15bn sale of dollar bonds  —  Alphabet has lined up banks to sell …

Alphabet looking to issue a 100-year bond. Last time this happened was Motorola in 1997, which was the last year Motorola was considered a big deal. At the start of 1997, Motorola was a top 25 market cap and top 25 revenue corporation in America. Never again. The Motorola [image]
2026-02-09 View on X
Bloomberg

Alphabet raised $20B in its biggest ever US dollar bond sale, more than the $15B initially expected, as it seeks to finance $185B in 2026 capex

Alphabet Inc. is looking to raise about $15 billion from a US high-grade dollar bond sale, according to people with knowledge of the matter …

2026-01-13
And Meta gives in, throwing away its one saving grace. Watch ROIC crash.
2026-01-13 View on X
Axios

Mark Zuckerberg says Meta is establishing Meta Compute, a top-level initiative to build “tens of gigawatts” of AI infrastructure this decade and hundreds later

initiative is said to consume hundreds of gigawatts over timeJaxon Gaines /Watcher Guru:Meta Stock Dips From $650 After “Meta Compute” RevealSiddharth Jindal /Analytics India Magaz...

And Meta gives in, throwing away its one saving grace. Watch ROIC crash.
2026-01-13 View on X
Bloomberg

Meta confirms it is laying off Reality Labs staff and will “reinvest the savings” in wearables; CTO Andrew Bosworth says 1,000+ staff will be notified Tuesday

Meta Platforms Inc. is beginning to cut more than 1,000 jobs from the company's Reality Labs division …

And Meta gives in, throwing away its one saving grace. Watch ROIC crash.
2026-01-13 View on X
New York Times

Sources: Meta plans to lay off ~10% of its 15,000-employee Reality Labs division, disproportionately affecting those working on VR headsets and Horizon Worlds

The layoffs are set to be announced this week and would affect Meta's work on the metaverse, as the company spends heavily on building artificial intelligence.

2026-01-11
Jack Clark @jackclarkSF co-founder of Anthropic @claudeai, Dwarkesh Patel @dwarkeshpodcast, and I had a good discussion, and it has been published, free to all, at the link below. I greatly admire both Jack and Dwarkesh and was happy to participate. The AI revolution is here. [image]
2026-01-11 View on X
The Substack Post

Michael Burry, Anthropic co-founder Jack Clark, and Dwarkesh Patel on the future of AI, whether AI tools improve productivity, job losses due to AI, and more

The man who predicted the 2008 crash, Anthropic's co-founder, and a leading AI podcaster jump into a Google doc to debate the future of AI—and, possibly, our lives

2026-01-10
Jack Clark @jackclarkSF co-founder of Anthropic @claudeai, Dwarkesh Patel @dwarkeshpodcast, and I had a good discussion, and it has been published, free to all, at the link below. I greatly admire both Jack and Dwarkesh and was happy to participate. The AI revolution is here. [image]
2026-01-10 View on X
The Substack Post

Michael Burry, Anthropic co-founder Jack Clark, and Dwarkesh Patel on the future of AI, whether AI tools improve productivity, job losses due to AI, and more

The man who predicted the 2008 crash, Anthropic's co-founder, and a leading AI podcaster jump into a Google doc to debate the future of AI—and, possibly, our lives

2025-11-25
Nvidia emailed a memo to Wall Street sell side analysts to push back on my arguments. I stand by my analysis. Obviously, the full analysis does not fit in a tweet. I will release on my timeline. The first post in The Heretic's Guide to AI's Stars “Supply-Side Gluttony” is up
2025-11-25 View on X
Barron's Online

Nvidia refuted accounting questions in a memo to analysts, saying “Unlike Enron, Nvidia does not use Special Purpose Entities to hide debt and inflate revenue”

A series of prominent stock sales and allegations of accounting irregularities have put Nvidia NVDA +2.05% in the middle …