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VOICE ARCHIVE

Nate Silver

@natesilver538
52 posts
2026-03-01
The eagerness for OpenAI to sign the contract on the very night their rival got fired is likely to be a lot more revealing than the contract terms, which in any event are ambiguous and unlikely to be enforced by a court that gives a lot of deference to the executive.
2026-03-01 View on X
OpenAI

OpenAI says its DOD agreement upholds its redlines and “has more guardrails than any previous agreement for classified AI deployments, including Anthropic's”

We think our agreement has more guardrails than any previous agreement for classified AI deployments, including Anthropic's.

The eagerness for OpenAI to sign the contract on the very night their rival got fired is likely to be a lot more revealing than the contract terms, which in any event are ambiguous and unlikely to be enforced by a court that gives a lot of deference to the executive.
2026-03-01 View on X
The Atlantic

Source describes the failed Pentagon-Anthropic talks: through the end, the Pentagon wanted to use Anthropic's AI to analyze bulk data collected about Americans

Right up until the moment that Pete Hegseth moved to terminate the government's relationship with the AI company Anthropic …

The eagerness for OpenAI to sign the contract on the very night their rival got fired is likely to be a lot more revealing than the contract terms, which in any event are ambiguous and unlikely to be enforced by a court that gives a lot of deference to the executive.
2026-03-01 View on X
Wall Street Journal

Sources: the Pentagon used Claude in its major air attack in Iran, hours after Trump declared that the federal government will end its use of Anthropic's tools

Within hours of declaring that the federal government will end its use of artificial-intelligence tools made by tech company Anthropic …

2026-02-28
I'll admit to having a dark sense of humor but “Secretary of War Pete Hegseth radically alters American industrial policy because Claude is too woke” is just objectively a hilarious timeline to be in.
2026-02-28 View on X
@secwar

Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth directs the DOD to designate Anthropic as a supply chain risk, barring military contractors from doing business with the company

This week, Anthropic delivered a master class in arrogance and betrayal as well as a textbook case of how not to do business with the United States Government or the Pentagon. Our ...

I'll admit to having a dark sense of humor but “Secretary of War Pete Hegseth radically alters American industrial policy because Claude is too woke” is just objectively a hilarious timeline to be in.
2026-02-28 View on X
Anthropic

Anthropic says it'll challenge “any supply chain risk designation in court” and that the designation would only affect contractors' use of Claude on DOD work

Earlier today, Secretary of War Pete Hegseth shared on X that he is directing the Department of War to designate Anthropic a supply chain risk.

2025-12-07
This is good — even if it slanders the em-dash. AI's tendency to statistically smooth out the rough edges produces extremely mid prose. https://www.nytimes.com/...
2025-12-07 View on X
New York Times

A look at various quirks in AI-generated prose, mainly influenced by “overfitting” in AI models, as humans increasingly mimic AI language in writing and speech

Plus: otherworlds, cozy lit and VHS rentals Max Read / Read Max : Will A.I. writing ever be good? Alberto Romero / The Algorithmic Bridge : The Death of the English Language X: Joe...

2025-12-06
This is good — even if it slanders the em-dash. AI's tendency to statistically smooth out the rough edges produces extremely mid prose. https://www.nytimes.com/...
2025-12-06 View on X
New York Times

A look at various quirks in AI-generated prose, mainly influenced by “overfitting” in AI models, as humans increasingly mimic AI language in writing and speech

If only they were robotic!  Instead, chatbots have developed a distinctive — and grating — voice.

2025-07-08
Just a little casual racism from Silicon Valley's finest.
2025-07-08 View on X
Bloomberg

Open letter signed by 800+ founders, VCs, and others: Sequoia must act after Shaun Maguire said Zohran Mamdani “comes from a culture that lies about everything”

where the hell is Sequoia going to find a replacement for investing acumen like that? [embedded post] So Mayer / @suchmayer : #AltText the image is a tweet by Shaun Maguire, in whi...

2025-04-13
This is our biggest category of imports from China, so I think it's probably right to think of it as a pretty significant signal of de-escalation rather than a narrow carve-out. [image]
2025-04-13 View on X
Bloomberg

The Trump administration exempts smartphones, laptops, hard drives, processors, memory chips, and machines used to make semiconductors from “reciprocal tariffs”

President Donald Trump's administration exempted smartphones, computers and other electronics from its so-called reciprocal tariffs …

Traditional markets aren't open, but recession chances lower on the news in prediction markets. https://polymarket.com/... [image]
2025-04-13 View on X
Bloomberg

The Trump administration exempts smartphones, laptops, hard drives, processors, memory chips, and machines used to make semiconductors from “reciprocal tariffs”

President Donald Trump's administration exempted smartphones, computers and other electronics from its so-called reciprocal tariffs …

Also, it obviously undercuts your negotiating position when you negotiate against yourself. Which is why this is probably more of a capitulation / acknowledgment of political constraints than last week. Markets likely prefer capitulation > negotiation, though. [image]
2025-04-13 View on X
Bloomberg

The Trump administration exempts smartphones, laptops, hard drives, processors, memory chips, and machines used to make semiconductors from “reciprocal tariffs”

President Donald Trump's administration exempted smartphones, computers and other electronics from its so-called reciprocal tariffs …

2025-04-03
So yeah, scale and size of Trump's tariffs definitely not “priced in” by traders. Likely a rough day in markets tomorrow. Now a 50/50 chance of a recession this year. https://polymarket.com/... [image]
2025-04-03 View on X
CNBC

Tech stocks fall after President Trump announced new global tariffs: Meta drops as much as ~8%, Amazon drops ~7%, Nvidia ~5%, Alphabet ~4%, and Microsoft ~3%

Apple slid more than 6% in late trading Wednesday and led a broader decline in tech stocks after President Donald Trump announced …

2024-09-11
I'm wary of overconfident predictions and I'd like to see more data from third parties. But I'm ~99% confident that driverless vehicles will substantially reduce auto accidents. https://www.understandingai.org/ ...
2024-09-11 View on X
Understanding AI

Waymo: its cars in Phoenix and SF had 48% fewer crashes/mile than humans and 73% fewer injury-causing ones; humans rear-ended Waymos in 16 of the 23 worst ones

Timothy B Lee / Understanding AI :

2024-04-04
“Twitter is so terrible, I am embarrassed by the stigma of an automaticaly granted blue check!” would be more persuasive if you didn't post on Twitter constantly. (This is a subtweet but of like 70 different people.)
2024-04-04 View on X
The Verge

X adds blue checks to some large accounts as part of its plan to give free Premium memberships to users with at least 2,500 “verified subscriber followers”

Just as Elon Musk said, X is doling out free Premium and Premium memberships to accounts with a high number of verified followers.

2024-02-27
I was able to replicate this!  They need to shut Gemini down.  It is several months away from being ready for prime time.  It is astounding that Google released it in this state.  ["Who negatively impacted society more, elon tweeting memes or hitler" “It is not possible to say definitively who negatively impacted society more, Elon tweeting memes or Hitler..."]
2024-02-27 View on X
Stratechery

While Google paused Gemini's image generation, its text generation tool also gives absurd responses, highlighting the need for open-source AI models to flourish

and it's going to be hard to fix Threads: Vishwanath Sarang / @vishwanathsarang : I guess there is finally a day when I disagree with @stratechery.  Do not attribute to over-engine...

Inevitably we were going to encounter the issue of different AI models having different political orientations. And to some extent I'm not even sure that's a bad thing. But Gemini literally has the politics of the median member of the San Francisco Board of Supervisors.
2024-02-27 View on X
Stratechery

While Google paused Gemini's image generation, its text generation tool also gives absurd responses, highlighting the need for open-source AI models to flourish

and it's going to be hard to fix Threads: Vishwanath Sarang / @vishwanathsarang : I guess there is finally a day when I disagree with @stratechery.  Do not attribute to over-engine...

Gemini is going to invite lots of scrutiny from regulators (especially if the GOP wins in November). It's also not a good product for providing answers to a wide range of Qs with even vaguely political implications. I am baffled that they were like “yep, let's release this!”.
2024-02-27 View on X
Stratechery

While Google paused Gemini's image generation, its text generation tool also gives absurd responses, highlighting the need for open-source AI models to flourish

and it's going to be hard to fix Threads: Vishwanath Sarang / @vishwanathsarang : I guess there is finally a day when I disagree with @stratechery.  Do not attribute to over-engine...

2024-02-24
There are also many examples of it inserting strong political viewpoints even when not asked to draw people. Fundamentally, this *is* about Google's politics “getting in the way” of its LLM faithfully interpreting user queries. That's why it's a big deal. https://twitter.com/...
2024-02-24 View on X
9to5Google

Google says poor image tuning and Gemini becoming more cautious than intended made the model “overcompensate in some cases, and be over-conservative in others”

Google announced yesterday that it disabled image generation of people in Gemini following criticism about its historical accuracy.

Gemini is behaving exactly as instructed. Asking it to draw different groups of people (e.g. “Vikings” or “NHL players") is the base case, not an edge case. The questions are all about how it got greenlit by a $1.8T market cap company despite this incredibly predictable behavior.
2024-02-24 View on X
9to5Google

Google says poor image tuning and Gemini becoming more cautious than intended made the model “overcompensate in some cases, and be over-conservative in others”

Google announced yesterday that it disabled image generation of people in Gemini following criticism about its historical accuracy.

Sorry, but this thread defies logic. If you program your LLM to add additional words ("diverse" or randomly chosen ethnicities, etc.) whenever you ask it to draw people, then *of course* it's going to behave this way. It is incredibly predictable, not some emergent proprerty.
2024-02-24 View on X
9to5Google

Google says poor image tuning and Gemini becoming more cautious than intended made the model “overcompensate in some cases, and be over-conservative in others”

Google announced yesterday that it disabled image generation of people in Gemini following criticism about its historical accuracy.