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VOICE ARCHIVE

Robin Hanson

@robinhanson
25 posts
2026-01-02
And the obvious solution is Robots-Took-Most-Jobs insurance. Why are so few interested? https://www.overcomingbias.com/ ...
2026-01-02 View on X
Philosopher Count

How AI automation can fulfill Thomas Piketty's predictions on rising economic inequality, and why highly progressive taxes on capital can help slow the spiral

Piketty was wrong about the past.  He's probably right about the future.  —  1. Introduction X: @briancalbrecht , @saikatc , @harryh , @jankulveit , @daniel_271828 , @krishnanrohit...

2025-10-16
“you could easily have someone looking at Pagerank in 1997 and doing a ‘bio risk uplift study’ and deciding Google and search is a threat to mankind. or ‘microprocessor computational safety’ in the 1980s forecasting Moore's law as the chart that leads us to doom.”
2025-10-16 View on X
Bloomberg

David Sacks says Anthropic is running a “regulatory capture strategy based on fear-mongering”, in response to Anthropic co-founder Jack Clark's AI policy essay

On Tuesday, White House AI “czar” and venture capitalist David Sacks intensified a frustration that has been building for months.

2025-10-12
“3 years after the launch of ChatGPT, these evaluators have produced a large body of evidence ... as scary as anything in the doomerist imagination. ... generate a horrifying animation of a small child being mauled by a bear.” That's the worst?! https://www.nytimes.com/...
2025-10-12 View on X
New York Times

Interviews with security researchers about AI's potential for large-scale destruction, as experts remain divided and global regulatory frameworks lag

we still have agency and an opportunity to act. https://www.nytimes.com/... Stephen Witt / @stephenwitt : I'm on the front page of the New York Times with an article about “The A.I...

2025-09-14
A disappointedly boring profile of the actually interesting @ESYudkowsky. He started two social movements for folks & causes where you wouldn't expect that. Hope someone tries again. https://www.nytimes.com/...
2025-09-14 View on X
New York Times

An interview with Eliezer Yudkowsky, one of the first people to warn of AI risks, on AI benefits, using violence to stop AI, Rationalism, his new book, and more

Eliezer Yudkowsky https://www.nytimes.com/... Matthew Kassel / @matthewkassel : “'If we get an effective international treaty shutting A.I. down, and the book had something to do w...

2024-03-12
“'I'm generally pro-A.I. and against slowing down innovation,' Robin Hanson, an economist who has had friendly debates with the doomers for years, told me. ‘I want our civilization to continue to grow and do spectacular things.’” https://www.newyorker.com/...
2024-03-12 View on X
New Yorker

A profile of several AI “doomers”, including AI Impacts researcher Katja Grace, and “effective accelerationists”, as both make arguments about the future of AI

Some people think machine intelligence will transform humanity for the better.  Others fear it may destroy us.

2024-03-07
@Noahpinion Then this is a fight over who gets to suppress stuff, not a fight over whether suppression happens.
2024-03-07 View on X
Punchbowl News

The White House is backing a bipartisan bill that would force ByteDance to sell TikTok if the company wants to keep the app in US app stores

namely, TikTok's actions that demonstrate a clear national security risk—conduct that is not protected by the First Amendment. Dr. Neal Dunn / @drnealdunnfl2 : Take or leave it! We...

Who thinks this is mainly about access to “videos about Tiananmen Square”, relative to what nation controls a key tech firm?
2024-03-07 View on X
Punchbowl News

The White House is backing a bipartisan bill that would force ByteDance to sell TikTok if the company wants to keep the app in US app stores

namely, TikTok's actions that demonstrate a clear national security risk—conduct that is not protected by the First Amendment. Dr. Neal Dunn / @drnealdunnfl2 : Take or leave it! We...

2024-01-06
Seems clear to me these respondents aren't thinking in terms of a coming several centuries long innovation pause as per: https://www.overcomingbias.com/ ...
2024-01-06 View on X
The Decoder

A survey of 2,778 AI researchers: 38.4% support faster development and 34.7% support slower development, AI development's pace will keep accelerating, and more

The “2023 Expert Survey on Progress in AI” shows that the scientific community has no consensus on the risks and opportunities of AI …

“surveyed 2,778 researchers who had published in top-tier artificial intelligence (AI) venues, ... chance of all human occupations becoming fully automatable was forecast to reach 10% by 2037, and 50% as late as 2116 (compared to 2164 in the 2022 survey)”
2024-01-06 View on X
The Decoder

A survey of 2,778 AI researchers: 38.4% support faster development and 34.7% support slower development, AI development's pace will keep accelerating, and more

The “2023 Expert Survey on Progress in AI” shows that the scientific community has no consensus on the risks and opportunities of AI …

2023-11-14
A profile might give you a feel for what a person is like. But they won't tell you much about that person's arguments. Not their assumptions, conclusions, nor quality. https://www.newyorker.com/...
2023-11-14 View on X
New Yorker

A profile of Geoffrey Hinton, who argues that by analyzing human writing, LLMs like GPT can comprehend the meanings of words and learn how the world works

Geoffrey Hinton has spent a lifetime teaching computers to learn.  Now he worries that artificial brains are better than ours.

2023-08-07
“phenomenon known to AI developers as drift, where attempts to improve one part of the enormously complex AI models make other parts of the models perform worse.” Sounds like software rot. https://www.wsj.com/...
2023-08-07 View on X
Wall Street Journal

Researchers show that ChatGPT 3.5 outperforms ChatGPT 4 in many tasks, including solving math problems, highlighting the issue of “drift” in improving AI models

Josh Zumbrun / Wall Street Journal :

2023-05-31
Yet another MSM article on AI risk that only cites doomers. Do they really think the “science” is that settled here? https://www.nytimes.com/...
2023-05-31 View on X
New York Times

OpenAI and DeepMind executives, Geoffrey Hinton, and 350+ others sign a statement saying “mitigating the risk of extinction from AI should be a global priority”

and says computer scientists need ethics training Brian Fung / CNN : AI industry and researchers sign statement warning of ‘extinction’ risk Alka Jain / Livemint : Industry leaders...

2023-05-30
Yet another MSM article on AI risk that only cites doomers. Do they really think the “science” is that settled here? https://www.nytimes.com/...
2023-05-30 View on X
New York Times

OpenAI and DeepMind execs, Geoffrey Hinton, and 350+ others release a statement saying “mitigating the risk of extinction from AI should be a global priority”

Leaders from OpenAI, Google Deepmind, Anthropic and other A.I. labs warn that future systems could be as deadly as pandemics and nuclear weapons.

2023-04-24
“when I ask my most fearful scientist friends to spell out how an A.I. apocalypse might happen, they often seize up from the paralysis that overtakes someone trying to conceive of infinity.” https://www.newyorker.com/...
2023-04-24 View on X
New Yorker

AI's mythology as tech for creating independent, intelligent beings instills fear; “data dignity” and seeing AI as a social collaboration could address worries

2023-03-31
“call on all AI labs to immediately pause for at least 6 months ... jointly develop & implement a set of shared safety protocols ... [to] ensure that systems adhering to them are safe beyond a reasonable doubt.” Only protocol can do that is: indefinite continued pause. I vote no. https://twitter.com/...
2023-03-31 View on X
VICE

Some signatories of the open letter to pause AI training walk back their positions, others turn out to be fake, and many experts disagree with its proposal

I marvel the technology.  But. … Kyle Dent : An open letter calls for companies to pause building AI systems more powerful than GPT-4 due to “profound risks to society and humanity...

2022-07-11
I'm proud to have known Chip from way way back. https://venturebeat.com/...
2022-07-11 View on X
VentureBeat

A Q&A with Chip Morningstar, a developer behind Lucasfilm's MMORPG forerunner Habitat, on the metaverse, blockchain, lessons learned building the game, and more

Dean Takahashi / VentureBeat :

2022-04-11
“One of the biggest complaints against AI is that it makes decisions that can't be explained” Statistics was also bad at explaining; why hold AI to a higher standard than we accepted for stat? https://www.wsj.com/...
2022-04-11 View on X
Wall Street Journal

A look at the regulations that New York, Barcelona, Amsterdam, Helsinki, and other cities are adopting as they increasingly use AI to provide public services

and countries—may want to copy” ⁦@WSJ⁩ reporting on Barcelona's AI policy https://www.wsj.com/...

2022-04-06
A key PaLM limit: in some of its tasks it LOOKS like it is drawing conclusions, but none result in it changing its representation. It learns from data, then does tasks, but doesn't learn FROM doing tasks. Is there a way to make THAT the task? “Read stuff and learn from it.” https://twitter.com/...
2022-04-06 View on X
Google AI Blog

Google AI claims PaLM, its 540B parameter, dense decoder-only Transformer model, shows breakthrough capabilities in tasks like language, reasoning, and coding

In recent years, large neural networks trained for language understanding and generation have achieved impressive results across a wide range of tasks.

Reading this is giving me an especially strong sense of “I'm living in the future”. When young, I wondered what future would be like. Now that I'm old, I ponder strange wonders like this, & ask what it says re further futures. https://twitter.com/...
2022-04-06 View on X
Google AI Blog

Google AI claims PaLM, its 540B parameter, dense decoder-only Transformer model, shows breakthrough capabilities in tasks like language, reasoning, and coding

In recent years, large neural networks trained for language understanding and generation have achieved impressive results across a wide range of tasks.

2021-03-14
I remember being impressed by the ability of fractal image compression to add detail to images back ~1990. Adding modern machine learning of course makes that work even better. https://petapixel.com/...
2021-03-14 View on X
PetaPixel

Adobe adds a new feature to Adobe Camera Raw called Super Resolution, which uses AI to double linear resolution of a photo, increasing its pixel count by 4x

Adobe has shipped the first version of Photoshop that can run natively on Macs equipped with Apple Silicon and also has announced …