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VOICE ARCHIVE

@yishan

@yishan
37 posts
2026-01-12
@jukan05 They don't have 3-5 years. AGI in US labs is on track to emerge in 2027.
2026-01-12 View on X
Bloomberg

Chinese AI executives say China is unlikely to eclipse the US in the AI race anytime soon, citing limited resources and US chip export curbs as key constraints

Some of China's most prominent figures in generative artificial intelligence warned that the Asian nation is unlikely to eclipse the US in the global AI race anytime soon.

2025-11-03
@aakashg0 My prediction is that this energy problem will not be solved in time, but that software solutions involving efficiency in power consumption will be developed faster than new power plants can be built and those will be the main solution. In fact, the effort will even be
2025-11-03 View on X
Tom's Hardware

In an interview, Satya Nadella says Microsoft faces a power shortage, but not a compute one, which could leave “chips sitting in inventory that I can't plug in”

Canada, UK, Europe—missed this memo. Now they're paying for it. Mon / @moninvestor : Microsoft's CEO says they have chips they can't use because there isn't enough power or data ce...

2025-01-28
@GroundhogStrat Here is a summary of my personal take: 1) I have not heard anyone given a cogent argument against the canonical “doomer” argument. To narrow down the various flavors, this would be the views most closely aligned with @ESYudkowsky and @Kat__Woods. 1a) More specifically, what I
2025-01-28 View on X
@yishan

The “DeepSeek moment” is like in 2004 when Google detailed using distributed algorithms to build a supercomputer, and unlike Sputnik, when Russia shared little

I think the Deepseek moment is not really the Sputnik moment, but more like the Google moment. If anyone was around in ~2004, you'll know what I mean, but more on that later. I thi...

@GroundhogStrat Here is a summary of my personal take: 1) I have not heard anyone given a cogent argument against the canonical “doomer” argument. To narrow down the various flavors, this would be the views most closely aligned with @ESYudkowsky and @Kat__Woods. 1a) More specifically, what I
2025-01-28 View on X
Bloomberg

Sam Altman says DeepSeek's R1 is an “impressive model, particularly around what they're able to deliver for the price” and OpenAI “will pull up some releases”

OpenAI Chief Executive Officer Sam Altman welcomed the debut of DeepSeek's R1 model in a post on X late on Monday.

2025-01-26
R1 isn't the true big disruption. It's just a herald. Here's what I predict will happen: Within 3-6 months, an American company will duplicate the same cost-savings in a similar model. DS literally told everyone how to do it. After that, Deepseek will come out with something so
2025-01-26 View on X
Financial Times

Industry insiders say DeepSeek's focus on research makes it a dangerous competitor as it's willing to share breakthroughs rather than protect them for profits

China is pulling the same trick.  —  www.ft.com/content/747a... Mastodon: Brian Kung / @briankung@hachyderm.io : “There's a pretty delicious, or maybe disconcerting irony to this, ...

R1 isn't the true big disruption. It's just a herald. Here's what I predict will happen: Within 3-6 months, an American company will duplicate the same cost-savings in a similar model. DS literally told everyone how to do it. After that, Deepseek will come out with something so
2025-01-26 View on X
MIT Technology Review

Rather than weakening China's AI capabilities, US sanctions appear to be driving startups like DeepSeek to innovate by prioritizing efficiency and collaboration

The AI community is abuzz over DeepSeek R1, a new open-source reasoning model.  —  The model was developed by the Chinese AI startup DeepSeek …

2025-01-25
R1 isn't the true big disruption. It's just a herald. Here's what I predict will happen: Within 3-6 months, an American company will duplicate the same cost-savings in a similar model. DS literally told everyone how to do it. After that, Deepseek will come out with something so
2025-01-25 View on X
VentureBeat

Yann LeCun says DeepSeek “profited from open research and open source” like Meta's Llama and is proof that open source models are surpassing proprietary ones

If you hadn't heard, there's a new AI star in town: DeepSeek, the subsidiary of Hong Kong-based quantitative analysis …

2024-02-24
@ESYudkowsky Again, I will say this: any time you see a comedic large-scale error by AI, it is evidence that we do not know how to align and control it, that we are not even close.
2024-02-24 View on X
9to5Google

Google says poor image tuning and Gemini becoming more cautious than intended made the model “overcompensate in some cases, and be over-conservative in others”

Google announced yesterday that it disabled image generation of people in Gemini following criticism about its historical accuracy.

Google's Gemini issue is not really about woke/DEI, and everyone who is obsessing over it has failed to notice the much, MUCH bigger problem that it represents. (1/n)
2024-02-24 View on X
9to5Google

Google says poor image tuning and Gemini becoming more cautious than intended made the model “overcompensate in some cases, and be over-conservative in others”

Google announced yesterday that it disabled image generation of people in Gemini following criticism about its historical accuracy.

This event is significant because it is major demonstration of someone giving a LLM a set of instructions and the results being totally not at all what they predicted.
2024-02-24 View on X
9to5Google

Google says poor image tuning and Gemini becoming more cautious than intended made the model “overcompensate in some cases, and be over-conservative in others”

Google announced yesterday that it disabled image generation of people in Gemini following criticism about its historical accuracy.

2023-04-06
In honor of Bob Lee's memory - I met him when he was CTO of Square and I was consulting there - here is a write-up of some great programming that he did for a coding challenge: https://www.beust.com/...
2023-04-06 View on X
TechCrunch

MobileCoin Chief Product Officer Bob Lee, who worked on CashApp as Square's CTO and on Android at Google, dies after being stabbed in San Francisco on April 4

I worked with Bob Lee when I first started working at Google. … Jenny Lee : Last night, I heard about Bob Lee's passing.  I am completely devasted and heartbroken.  —  Bob was our ...

2023-04-05
In honor of Bob Lee's memory - I met him when he was CTO of Square and I was consulting there - here is a write-up of some great programming that he did for a coding challenge: https://www.beust.com/...
2023-04-05 View on X
TechCrunch

MobileCoin Chief Product Officer Bob Lee, who worked on CashApp as Square CTO and on Android at Google, dies after reportedly being stabbed in San Francisco

Bob Lee, the chief product officer at MobileCoin, was killed in a fatal stabbing in San Francisco.

2022-12-07
You know, I'm just going to say again, @comma_ai can do this for over 200 different make/models of cars for under $3000. I've ordered my second unit and looking forward to installing it on my 2017 RAV4 when I have a spare moment on the weekend. https://twitter.com/...
2022-12-07 View on X
Bloomberg

Sources: Apple reins in its ambitious self-driving plans for its electric vehicle, delayed to 2026, now with a steering wheel, pedals, and highway-only autonomy

what do you think? the same way in 2006 we were like, “an apple phone?” we'll see how this plays out see you in 2026 https://twitter.com/... Michael Gartenberg / @gartenberg : I'm ...

2022-04-18
They kind of care about money, but mostly they wish you would shut up and be civil.
2022-04-18 View on X
Techdirt

Musk's free speech definition is utter nonsense and his suggestions for Twitter completely ignore decades of content moderation iteration on social platforms

from the not-how-any-of-this-works dept  —  Lots of talk yesterday as Elon Musk made a hostile takeover bid for all of Twitter.

Facebook's userbase has at various times been left-leaning, then right-leaning, then bifurcated. So has Reddit's. Twitter's also. The social platforms don't care.
2022-04-18 View on X
Techdirt

Musk's free speech definition is utter nonsense and his suggestions for Twitter completely ignore decades of content moderation iteration on social platforms

from the not-how-any-of-this-works dept  —  Lots of talk yesterday as Elon Musk made a hostile takeover bid for all of Twitter.

Neither side is lying. Mostly, it's really because enforcement is hard, and there are LOTS of errors. There's a separate emerging problem (more FB than Twitter) where AI models make inhumane/dystopian judgments that can't be appealed, but that's a separate issue.
2022-04-18 View on X
Techdirt

Musk's free speech definition is utter nonsense and his suggestions for Twitter completely ignore decades of content moderation iteration on social platforms

from the not-how-any-of-this-works dept  —  Lots of talk yesterday as Elon Musk made a hostile takeover bid for all of Twitter.

[Thread] Ex-Reddit CEO warns Elon Musk that he doesn't understand current internet culture enough to handle the challenges of large social networks like Twitter
2022-04-18 View on X
Techdirt

Musk's free speech definition is utter nonsense and his suggestions for Twitter completely ignore decades of content moderation iteration on social platforms

from the not-how-any-of-this-works dept  —  Lots of talk yesterday as Elon Musk made a hostile takeover bid for all of Twitter.

I'm now going to reveal the institutional bias of every large social network (i.e. FB, Twitter, Reddit):
2022-04-18 View on X
Techdirt

Musk's free speech definition is utter nonsense and his suggestions for Twitter completely ignore decades of content moderation iteration on social platforms

from the not-how-any-of-this-works dept  —  Lots of talk yesterday as Elon Musk made a hostile takeover bid for all of Twitter.

They would like you (the users) to stop squabbling over stupid shit and causing drama so that they can spend their time writing more features and not have to adjudicate your stupid little fights.
2022-04-18 View on X
Techdirt

Musk's free speech definition is utter nonsense and his suggestions for Twitter completely ignore decades of content moderation iteration on social platforms

from the not-how-any-of-this-works dept  —  Lots of talk yesterday as Elon Musk made a hostile takeover bid for all of Twitter.

2022-04-17
[Thread] Ex-Reddit CEO warns Elon Musk that he doesn't understand current internet culture enough to handle the challenges of large social networks like Twitter
2022-04-17 View on X
Techdirt

Musk's free speech definition is utter nonsense and his suggestions for Twitter completely ignore decades of content moderation iteration on social platforms

from the not-how-any-of-this-works dept  —  Lots of talk yesterday as Elon Musk made a hostile takeover bid for all of Twitter.